Huge chunks of the population have demonstrated their unwillingness to comply with even the most simple of guidance
That's the thing, I'm not sure if that's the case, or whether it made much difference if it was.
Some of the apparent mass breaches were fake news: those crowded beach scenes over summer were forced-perspective #ScumMedia trickery to make people appear much closer than they actually were - covidiot outrage sells papers.
The mass rallies of various sorts didn't seem to result in a rise in hospitalisations or deaths. Deaths remain on or under the mean in everywhere in Europe except Spain, including all UK regions. [0]
I'm seeing fairly good compliance with face coverings in shops (and even airsoft sites). 98% of adults self-report as using them[1].
Positive PCR test results (which are not the same as active cases, let alone sickness) are rising among school age children and young adults, which is what you'd expect from schools and universities being back, and not a matter for blame. Virtually none of them are going to be seriously effected. Thankfully, positive test results among over 70s aren't rising at all[2].
Yes, large parties where people get pissed up, hug, kiss and shag each other up the back stairs are bad. But they're
already illegal. Laws only bother the law abiding. Smart, sensible people won't be popping round their gran's place to lick the spoons regardless of the law. Chavs will do it despite, or perhaps even
to spite, any prohibition on it.
I cannot stress enough how much I am not pooh-poohing this or saying "Yeahbut, Sweden". I took this seriously from the beginning, and I commend everyone who does at a personal level.
It's the scale and the sustainability of the response that I question: economically, socially, politically, and legally. Passing and enforcing laws that 78% of people claim that they want[3], but which at least 89% then don't follow[4], doesn't seem to lead to a particularly good place.
And medically, even leaving aside the long tail of untreated cancer diagnoses, there's already a big cost in folk just dying at home rather than seeking help.[5]
Well, I guess that's the world put to rights. Has anyone posted a comically over-priced toy in Macks?
[0]
https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/
[1]
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/healthandwellbeing/bulletins/coronavirusandthesocialimpactsongreatbritain/16october2020
[2]
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
[3]
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2020/09/23/brits-support-new-lockdown-rules-many-think-they-d
[4]
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-54586897
[5]
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-54598728